In this strategy so-called moderates are key weapons to be used against Islam.
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The U.S. Air Force asked RAND Project AIR FORCE (PAF) to study the trends that are most likely to affect U.S. interests and security in the Muslim world. Researchers developed an analytic framework to identify the major ideological orientations within Islam, to examine critical cleavages between Muslim groups, and to trace the long-term and immediate causes of Islamic radicalism. This framework will help U.S. policymakers understand the political and military strategies available to respond to changing conditions in this critical part of the world.
STRATEGY TO DESTROY ISLAM AND DIVIDE MUSLIMS prepared by RAND
We can distinguish four essential positions of Muslims:
.Fundamentalists reject democratic values and contemporary Western culture.
They want an authoritarian, puritanical state that will implement their
extreme view of Islamic law and morality. They are willing to use innovation
and modern technology to achieve that goal.
. Traditionalists want a conservative society. They are suspicious of
modernity, innovation, and change.
.Modernists want the Islamic world to become part of global modernity.
They want to modernize and reform Islam to bring it into line with the age.
. Secularists want the Islamic world to accept a division of church and state
in the manner of Western industrial democracies, with religion relegated to
the private sphere.
These groups hold distinctly different positions on essential issues that have
become contentious in the Islamic world today, including political and individual
freedom, education, the status of women, criminal justice, the legitimacy of
reform and change, and attitudes toward the West.
The fundamentalists are hostile to the West and to the United States in particular
and are intent, to varying degrees, on damaging and destroying democratic
modernity. Supporting them is not an option, except for transitory tactical
considerations. The traditionalists generally hold more moderate views, but
there are significant differences between different groups of traditionalists.
Some are close to the fundamentalists. None wholeheartedly embraces modern
democracy and the culture and values of modernity and, at best, can only make
an uneasy peace with them.
The modernists and secularists are closest to the West in terms of values and
policies. However, they are generally in a weaker position than the other
groups, lacking powerful backing, financial resources, an effective infrastructure,
and a public platform. The secularists, besides sometimes being unacceptable
as allies on the basis of their broader ideological affiliation, also have
trouble addressing the traditional sector of an Islamic audience.
Traditional orthodox Islam contains democratic elements that can be used to
counter the repressive, authoritarian Islam of the fundamentalists, but it is not
suited to be the primary vehicle of democratic Islam. That role falls to the
Islamic modernists, whose effectiveness, however, has been limited by a number
of constraints, which this report will explore.
To encourage positive change in the Islamic world toward greater democracy,
modernity, and compatibility with the contemporary international world order,
the United States and the West need to consider very carefully which elements,
trends, and forces within Islam they intend to strengthen; what the goals andvalues of their various potential allies and protégés really are; and what the
broader consequences of advancing their respective agendas are likely to be. A
mixed approach composed of the following elements is likely to be the most
effective:
.Support the modernists first:
.Publish and distribute their works at subsidized cost.
. Encourage them to write for mass audiences and for youth.
. Introduce their views into the curriculum of Islamic education.
. Give them a public platform.
.Make their opinions and judgments on fundamental questions of religious
interpretation available to a mass audience in competition with
those of the fundamentalists and traditionalists, who have Web sites,
publishing houses, schools, institutes, and many other vehicles for disseminating
their views.
. Position secularism and modernism as a “counterculture option for
disaffected Islamic youth.
. Facilitate and encourage an awareness of their pre- and non-Islamic
history and culture, in the media and the curricula of relevant countries.
. Assist in the development of independent civic organizations, to promote
civic culture and provide a space for ordinary citizens to educate
themselves about the political process and to articulate their views.
. Support the traditionalists against the fundamentalists:
. Publicize traditionalist criticism of fundamentalist violence and extremism;
encourage disagreements between traditionalists and fundamentalists.
. Discourage alliances between traditionalists and fundamentalists.
. Encourage cooperation between modernists and the traditionalists who
are closer to the modernist end of the spectrum.
. Where appropriate, educate the traditionalists to equip them better for
debates against fundamentalists. Fundamentalists are often rhetorically
superior, while traditionalists practice a politically inarticulate “folk
Islam. In such places as Central Asia, they may need to be educated
and trained in orthodox Islam to be able to stand their ground.
.Increase the presence and profile of modernists in traditionalist institutions.
xii Civil Democratic Islam: Partners, Resources, and Strategies
. Discriminate between different sectors of traditionalism. Encourage
those with a greater affinity to modernism, such as the Hanafi law
school, versus others. Encourage them to issue religious opinions and
popularize these to weaken the authority of backward Wahhabi inspired
religious rulings. This relates to funding: Wahhabi money goes
to the support of the conservative Hanbali school. It also relates to
knowledge: More-backward parts of the Muslim world are not aware of
advances in the application and interpretation of Islamic law.
. Encourage the popularity and acceptance of Sufism.
. Confront and oppose the fundamentalists:
. Challenge their interpretation of Islam and expose inaccuracies.
. Reveal their linkages to illegal groups and activities.
. Publicize the consequences of their violent acts.
. Demonstrate their inability to rule, to achieve positive development of
their countries and communities.
. Address these messages especially to young people, to pious traditionalist
populations, to Muslim minorities in the West, and to women.
. Avoid showing respect or admiration for the violent feats of fundamentalist
extremists and terrorists. Cast them as disturbed and cowardly, not as evil heroes.
. Encourage journalists to investigate issues of corruption, hypocrisy, and immorality in fundamentalist and terrorist circles.
. Encourage divisions among fundamentalists.
. Selectively support secularists:
. Encourage recognition of fundamentalism as a shared enemy, discourage
secularist alliance with anti-U.S. forces on such grounds as
nationalism and leftist ideology.
. Support the idea that religion and the state can be separate in Islam too
and that this does not endanger the faith but, in fact, may strengthen it.
Whichever approach or mix of approaches is chosen, we recommend that it be
done with careful deliberation, in knowledge of the symbolic weight of certain
issues; the meaning likely to be assigned to the alignment of U.S. policymakers
with particular positions on these issues; the consequences of these alignments
for other Islamic actors, including the risk of endangering or discrediting the
very groups and people we are seeking to help; and the opportunity costs and
possible unintended consequences of affiliations and postures that may seem
appropriate in the short term.
The following outline summarizes the strategy:
. Support the modernists first, enhancing their vision of Islam over that of the traditionalists by providing them with a broad platform to articulate and
disseminate their views. They, not the traditionalists, should be cultivated
and publicly presented as the face of contemporary Islam.
. Support the secularists on a case-by-case basis.
. Encourage secular civic and cultural institutions and programs.
. Back the traditionalists enough to keep them viable against the fundamentalists
(if and wherever those are our choices) and to prevent a closer
alliance between these two groups. Within the traditionalists, we should
selectively encourage those who are the relatively better match for modern
civil society. For example, some Islamic law schools are far more amenable
to our view of justice and human rights than are others.
. Finally, oppose the fundamentalists energetically by striking at vulnerabilities
in their Islamic and ideological postures, exposing things that neither
48 Civil Democratic Islam: Partners, Resources, and Strategies
the youthful idealists in their target audience nor the pious traditionalists
can approve of: their corruption, their brutality, their ignorance, the bias
and manifest errors in their application of Islam, and their inability to lead
and govern.
Some additional, more-direct activities will be necessary to support this overall approach, such as the following:
. Help break the fundamentalist and traditionalist monopoly on defining,
explaining, and interpreting Islam.
. Identify appropriate modernist scholars to manage a Web site that answers
questions related to daily conduct and offers modernist Islamic legal opinions.
. Encourage modernist scholars to write textbooks and develop curricula.
. Publish introductory books at subsidized rates to make them as available as
the tractates of fundamentalist authors.
. Use popular regional media, such as radio, to introduce the thoughts and
practices of modernist Muslims to broaden the international view of what
Islam means and can mean.
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