"Let there arise out of you a band of people inviting to all that is good enjoining what is right and forbidding what is wrong; they are the ones to attain felicity".
(surah Al-Imran,ayat-104)
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User Name: Usman_Khalid
Full Name: Brig (R) Usman Khalid
User since: 20/Sep/2007
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Threat of 5th Generation War in Pakistan


By Usman Khalid, Chairman Rifah Party


When I circulated my article titled “ Military Intervention Appears Inevitable Again” (link below) , there was a mixed response. Many agreed with me but some thought that I was forecasting or advocating a coup d’état. I was not. But that was and still is my fear.


 A threat analysis being circulated on the internet is appended below, which shares my fears. But it goes further. It points out that the present government is 1) complicit in the waging of 5th generation war on Pakistan (wittingly or more likely unwittingly) and that 2) the Army Chief must prevent that from happening in his capacity as the principal advisor on defence to the Government.


The judiciary and the media are assisting the enemy plans in the name of the ‘rule of law’ and ‘pres freedom’. It was no accident that General Musharraf – a military dictator – gave licences to a hundred TV channels including many from India without reciprocity to facilitate propaganda that made subversion respectable. The judiciary has done a lot of good things but is it not surprising that corruption and lawlessness is more widespread? Is it because the judiciary has punished neither criminals nor terrorists but has focussed attention on reviling and demoralising the intelligence and the armed forces?   


The situation that prevails in Pakistan is typical of the 5th generation war. The Soviet Union collapsed and disintegrated while the armed forces remained sidelined - impotent and ineffective. The same could be replicated in Pakistan unless the Army woke up and: 1) spoke to the people to give them hope and a line, 2) and warned the political class to address the problems or vacate office.      




Threat Analysis and Security Situation report

The ultimate diplomatic and Geo-political nightmare is now unfolding in Pakistan. Just as they did in Libya, UN is now getting involved in Baluchistan over human rights issue and a case is being built against Pakistan for a UN intervention in Baluchistan.

No one in the government is owning the “invitation” to the UN team

No one knows who has authorized it or under which mandate this is being done. There is a total conspiracy of silence in the government, media and the judiciary. The secrecy to the entire mission is itself sinister. There are voices being raised in the parliament but just for the gallery. The UN is now well and truly poised to build a case for a direct military intervention into Baluchistan. Once the case gets the UN sanction, NATO would start to roll in from Afghanistan to cut a corridor to Gawader through the province of Baluchistan. Welcome to the invasion of Pakistan under Af-Pak!

The stage for an invasion is being set step by step. The sequence is as following:

1.Sub-nationalists and insurgents like BLA backed by CIA and RAW wage a war against the state and force thousands of youth and tribals to migrate to Afghanistan or join the insurgency. Baluchistan is turned into a death zone for all those patriots who protect and defend Pakistan.

2.Media creates a hype about the “missing persons” creating a global outcry based on totally false, fabricated and propaganda stories to malign the security forces and national secret services.

3.Supreme Court CJ takes notice and either naively or deliberately plays into the hands of the enemies and separatists. For example, the grandson of Akbar Bugti, Brahmdagh Bugti is based in Switzerland and is waging the military campaign against the state while the son of Akbar Bugti is filing cases in the courts against army and the state for “missing persons”. It is incredible that it is all in the “family” for the insurgents.

4.CJ starts his bashing of the ISI, FC and army, even registering cases against the security forces instead of the terrorists and the insurgents. In the Akbar Bugti’s death case, where no inquiry and investigation has ever been done, CJ even becomes a party and called it a “murder” and the biggest political blunder of Pakistan’s history!!!!

5.Due to the aggressive attitude of CJ against the army and the FC, security forces went on the defensive, even withdrawing from the basic security operations allowing a free field to the terrorists.

6.On the other hand, government and the judiciary started to withdraw the cases against the BLA, insurgents and terrorists for hundreds of acts of war, sabotage, assassinations, kidnappings and destruction of state power and gas infrastructure. Withdrawing of cases against the insurgents without any concession from the terrorists is a deliberate betrayal of the nation and the state and amounts to treason.

7.Moved by the “direct interest” of the CJ, UN decides to move in for a fact finding mission.

8.The separatists meet the UN mission and demand a UN intervention.

Next steps would be:

1.UN mission would go back and write a damning report against Pakistan and Pak army.

2.Global media and India would pick up the report to build an international case on Baluchistan.

3.Pakistan media would also join the Indian and western media to bring more pressure on Pak army and ISI and would demand withdrawing the army and the FC from the province, giving a free hand to the insurgents and the foreign intervention forces.

4.UN would take up the case.

5.In the next 3 months, the entire NATO military hardware for the invasion would pass through Pakistan, bolstering the US force presence in Afghanistan, ready for rolling into Baluchistan under the UN mandate.

6.By January, Pakistan could be in total and complete anarchy and the government would be busy in elections with total collapse of civil governance and and economic axis, a civil war situation would be ripe in the country. The TTP insurgents based in Afghanistan would launch more aggressive attacks on Pak army to draw Pak army away from Baluchistan. Indians would also make aggressive moves and postures in Kashmir and on the eastern borders of Pakistan to keep Pak forces focused on East and against insurgents in FATA.

7.The prize would be to cut a strategic corridor through Gawader to Chaman for NATO. An amphibious landing on Gawader is the target.

8.The final phase of Af-Pak, 4th GW and Cold start would be launched. Invasion, occupation, war, anarchy and dismemberment.

We expect this to unfold in the next 3 to 4 months. From Somalia to Syria to Iraq to Yugoslavia – the war would head towards its logical end unless stopped now by Pak army, else the bitter end is a foregone conclusion.


Within the country, it is total chaos, death, floods and corruption as the government remains at war with the judiciary and the country has literally gone to dogs on all axis. The internal implosion is now bringing down the entire edifice of the state and the country. Rampant corruption, lawlessness and complete meltdown of social and civic services are now drawing blood staggeringly on daily basis. The anger and rage in the people is spilling in every direction.

When future history will be written, the historians would be at a total loss to find out the reason for the deafening silence and inexplicable inaction of the Army Chief when the country was being sunk so rapidly on all axis.
The situation can still be recovered but now it needs a military coup to clean up the mess and recover the nose dive to death. Every passing day is a day lost in recovery and is increasing the cost of salvage which is getting higher and higher in blood.

A firm physical, ideological, spiritual and intellectual rebellion against the system is now a national, religious and moral duty of every patriot! We have been betrayed. Now very soon, we will be tested as well.




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