The unprecedented Saudi refusal to take up its Security Council
seat is not just about Syria but a response to the Iranian threat
by Robert Fisk
The Muslim world’s historic – and deeply tragic – chasm
between Sunni and Shia Islam is having worldwide repercussions. Syria’s civil
war, America’s craven alliance with the Sunni Gulf autocracies, and Sunni (as
well as Israeli) suspicions of Shia Iran are affecting even the work of the
United Nations.
Saudi Arabia’s petulant refusal last week to
take its place among non-voting members of the Security Council, an
unprecedented step by any UN member, was intended to express the dictatorial
monarchy’s displeasure with Washington’s refusal to bomb Syria after the use of
chemical weapons in Damascus – but it also represented Saudi fears that Barack
Obama might respond to Iranian overtures for better relations with the West.
The Saudi head of intelligence, Prince Bandar
bin Sultan – a true buddy of President George W Bush during his 22 years as
ambassador in Washington – has now rattled his tin drum to warn the Americans
that Saudi Arabia will make a “major shift” in its relations with the US, not
just because of its failure to attack Syria but for its inability to produce a
fair Israeli-Palestinian peace settlement.
What this “major shift” might be – save for
the usual Saudi hot air about its independence from US foreign policy – was a
secret that the prince kept to himself.
Israel, of course, never loses an opportunity
to publicise – quite accurately – how closely many of its Middle East policies
now coincide with those of the wealthy potentates of the Arab Gulf.
Hatred of the Shia/Alawite Syrian regime, an
unquenchable suspicion of Shia Iran’s nuclear plans and a general fear of Shia
expansion is turning the unelected Sunni Arab monarchies into proxy allies of
the Israeli state they have often sworn to destroy. Hardly, one imagines, the
kind of notion that Prince Bandar wishes to publicise.
Furthermore, America’s latest contribution to
Middle East “peace” could be the sale of $10.8bn worth of missiles and arms to
Sunni Saudi Arabia and the equally Sunni United Arab Emirates, including GBU-39
bombs – the weapons cutely called “bunker-busters” – which they could use
against Shia Iran. Israel, of course, possesses the very same armaments.
Whether the hapless Mr Kerry – whose risible
promise of an “unbelievably small” attack on Syria made him the laughing stock
of the Middle East – understands the degree to which he is committing his
country to the Sunni side in Islam’s oldest conflict is the subject of much
debate in the Arab world. His response to the Saudi refusal to take its place
in the UN Security Council has been almost as weird.
After lunch on Monday at the Paris home of the
Saudi Foreign Minister, Saud al-Faisal, Kerry – via his usual anonymous
officials – said that he valued the autocracy’s leadership in the region,
shared Riyadh’s desire to de-nuclearise Iran and to bring an end to the Syrian
war. But Kerry’s insistence that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and his
regime must abandon power means that a Sunni government would take over Syria;
and his wish to disarm Shia Iran – however notional its nuclear threat may be –
would ensure that Sunni military power would dominate the Middle East from the
Afghan border to the Mediterranean.
Few realise that Yemen constitutes another of
the Saudi-Iranian battlegrounds in the region.
Saudi enthusiasm for Salafist groups in Yemen
– including the Islah party, which is allegedly funded by Qatar, though it
denies receiving any external support – is one reason why the post-Saleh regime
in Sanaa has been supporting the Zaidi Shia Houthi “rebels” whose home
provinces of Sa’adah, al Jawf and Hajja border Saudi Arabia. The Houthis are –
according to the Sunni Saudis – supported by Iran.
The minority Sunni monarchy in Bahrain –
supported by the Saudis and of course by the compliant governments of the US,
Britain, et al – is likewise accusing Shia Iran of colluding with the island’s
majority Shias. Oddly, Prince Bandar, in his comments, claimed that Barack
Obama had failed to support Saudi policy in Bahrain – which involved sending
its own troops into the island to help repress Shia demonstrators in 2011 –
when in fact America’s silence over the regime’s paramilitary violence was the
nearest Washington could go in offering its backing to the Sunni minority and
his Royal Highness the King of Bahrain.
All in all, then, a mighty Western love affair
with Sunni Islam – a love that very definitely cannot speak its name in an Arab
Gulf world in which “democracy”, “moderation”, “partnership” and outright
dictatorship are interchangeable – which neither Washington nor London nor
Paris (nor indeed Moscow or Beijing) will acknowledge. But, needless to say,
there are a few irritating – and incongruous – ripples in this mutual passion.
The Saudis, for example, blame Obama for
allowing Egypt’s decadent Hosni Mubarak to be overthrown. They blame the Americans
for supporting the elected Muslim Brother Mohamed Morsi as president –
elections not being terribly popular in the Gulf – and the Saudis are now
throwing cash at Egypt’s new military regime. Assad in Damascus also offered
his congratulations to the Egyptian military. Was the Egyptian army not, after
all – like Assad himself – trying to prevent religious extremists from taking
power?
Fair enough – providing we remember that the
Saudis are really supporting the Egyptian Salafists who cynically gave their
loyalty to the Egyptian military, and that Saudi-financed Salafists are among
the fiercest opponents of Assad.
Thankfully for Kerry and his European mates,
the absence of any institutional memory in the State Department, Foreign Office
or Quai d’Orsay means that no one need remember that 15 of the 19 mass-killers
of 9/11 were also Salafists and – let us above all, please God, forget this –
were all Sunni citizens of Saudi Arabia.
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