ISI: Pakistan’s
Formidable Force Multiplier
By Vinod Sharma
One has got to admire Pakistan. Is there any other example in
history where a small nation has simultaneously taken on two much bigger
countries, one a super power and the other deluding itself into believing that
it is going to become one along its present trajectory, for such a painful
ride, for so long, with barely concealed disdain and deceit?
Pakistan’s audacity backed by sheer brilliance in execution is the
stuff history is made of. That it has been able to pull off a seemingly
impossible double is as much a tribute to its leaders, both military and civil,
as to the one instrument without peer that they have created: the Inter Services
Intelligence (ISI).
This covert arm of the military has been developed and honed, with
some help from the CIA in 1980s, to become a huge force multiplier that has
almost re-written the rules of war. It is this institution alone that has given
Pakistan the luxury of playing the Jekyll and Hyde game on battlefields of its
choosing in a manner that it wants, without exposing its troops to danger and
its culpability to the enemy.
Pakistan sees ISI as its first line of defence. What is often
overlooked is that for its leaders, Pakistan includes Afghanistan and Kashmir
too. So for the Pakistani establishment—both military and civil— the ISI is not
engaged in any hostile or offensive actions there, like the Americans and the
Indians believe. It is only legitimately defending Pakistan against their
aggression and is fulfilling its patriotic duty to defeat and throw them out.
Add to its armoury the powerful tool of jihad and you have
brilliant and motivated minds employing perfectly brainwashed foot soldiers
itching to fight to death or blow themselves up for a cause they are made to
see as religious and holy, and not merely political.
When the US invaded Afghanistan after 9/11, it probably thought it
was going for a stroll in a park bombed flat by it.
Actually it would have. But it failed to factor in
Pakistan’s tenacity and duplicity, or may be it chose to look the other way
because expanding the war was not an option. Either way, the Pakistanis
assessed the situation far more accurately than the Americans thought they were
capable of. Thanks primarily to the manner in which their battle-proven
weapon, the ISI, sheltered, trained, equipped, deployed and controlled the
Talibanis, the Americans have been defeated on the ground.
That is why they are now open to once unimaginable
compromises, so they can get out of the quagmire with minimum loss of face.
Let us be clear that the US is not losing its Afghan war to the
Pathans who, as per the lore, have never lost to an aggressor. This is a myth
being propagated and lapped up to obfuscate reality.
The US is being defeated by a very clever and determined
Pakistan. The divided Pashtuns were trounced by the ISI after the Soviets
invaded Afghanistan, without a bullet being fired.
From wanting to wrest from Pakistan Pashtun areas on its side of
the Durand Line, Afghan Pashtuns became Pakistan’s pathetic pawns, thanks
primarily to the violent extremist Islamic ideology that the ISI sowed in them
when the Soviets invaded their country and the manner in which the ISI deeply
infiltrated into and controlled them. That strategy not only helped defeat the
Soviets but, more significantly, it placed Afghanistan firmly in the Pakistani
lap, giving the latter the strategic depth that it was looking for then
and is well on the way to recreating now.
Despite the serious challenge posed by the presence and pressure
of the Americans in Afghanistan, the ISI has not significantly let up it
campaign in Kashmir, primarily though the LeT. Or even in the rest of
India.
The tactical reduction in terror attacks there to con the
Americans does not mean that there has been any let up in the strengthening of
the terror network in India, or in augmenting its ability to launch even more
devastating attacks when ISI’s razor sharp top brass gives the green signal.
Unfortunately, our candle-loving peace-nicks and faux intellectuals fighting a
vicious domestic political battle against the BJP have deluded themselves/been
deluded by the government into believing that the ISI is a lesser evil which,
by making concessions to Pakistan, can be won over.
26/11 was the turning point that should have compelled India’s
leaders to open their eyes. If that attack was not bad enough, the dramatics
that followed since, starting from denying that Kasab was a Pakistani to
mocking India’s dossiers as literature, the Sharm-el-Sheikh shame,
aggressive and insulting reactions after Headley’s confessions, continuing
infiltration of terrorists into Kashmir, beheading of Indian soldiers etc. should
have made the Indians realise that they are dealing with an exceptionally
clever, ruthless and never-say-die leadership that will use every means at its
disposal to put pressure on India to make fatal concessions on Kashmir.
It will not let, forget ask, the ISI to take its foot even
slightly off the terror pedal in and against India. But, just as the Americans
failed to learn the right lessons from what Pakistan was doing to India, the
Indians seem to have failed to learn too from it has done to the Americans in
Afghanistan.
Headley’s startling exposure that the 26/11 attack was controlled
and coordinated by the ISI from start to finish, and that the attackers were
trained by Pakistan’s Navy, was the sort of information that Pakistan would
have twisted with a knife in India’s gut, had India’s RAW been the guilty
party. But what did Pakistan do?
It not only did not concede an inch to India, but actually
demanded that any progress on 26/11 investigations be linked to progress on
Siachen, Sir Creek etc. It seems to have escaped notice of the Indians
that Pakistan’s Army Chief Kiyani was the head of the ISI till October 2008, a
month before the Mumbai attack. So, in effect, the blame for 26/11–and by
deduction other terror attacks too–lies right on the doorstep of the de facto
ruler of Pakistan.
Yet, leading establishment intellectuals like Ram Guha want to
mislead India into believing that the ISI is a non-state actor and is no worse
than VHP or Bajrang Dal. It is such patently false assertions that enable powerful
voices in the Congress party and the government, including Sonia-loyalist Mani
Shankar Aiyar and India’s Foreign Minister Salman Khurshid, to peddle the
line that India has not choice, but to helplessly persist with an aimless,
“uninterrupted and uninterruptible dialogue” with Pakistan, because the only
alternative visible to them, a full-fledged war, is unthinkable.
As far as Pakistan is concerned, one cannot but infer that for it
the primary purpose of talks is to keep progressively legitimising on paper the
gains that ISI’s well disguised military successes make on the ground and in
Indian minds, in consonance with its strategic objective of weakening and
eventually defeating India.
India’s own covert operations outfit, rightly named RAW in a rare
moment of enlightenment, has singularly failed to nail the ISI, despite being
on this very job for decades, with a huge budget to boot. It has taken Abdul
Karim Tunda, for example, to reveal that India’s Most Wanted Dawood Ibrahim not
only lives in Karachi but is protected by the ISI and moves around under its
cover. This is further proof that the ISI, whose Director General reports to
the Army Chief, conducts its many dangerous businesses with clinical
professionalism, and knows how to keep them under wraps from amateur Indian
eyes.
Worse is the fact that it exposes another huge and unacceptable
chink in India’s armour against Pakistan: RAW is a
poorly-led-by-police-officers and driven-by-babu-culture set up that lacks the
political direction, professionalism, commitment and motivation required to
face, tackle and defeat a fanatic force multiplier like the ISI that is led and
controlled by the real rulers of Pakistan.
All this bodes ill for
India.
Once Pakistan achieves the primacy it is on its
way to in Afghanistan, all but drives India out from there, and makes full use
of the infrastructure that India’s much touted ‘soft power’ has created in that
country, the ISI’s energies, spurred by its spectacular success in Afghanistan,
will focus almost wholly on India, as even Akbaruddin Owaisi had warned a year
or so back on a TV show.
Some of us comfort ourselves by
fantasising that Pakistan will be soon be swallowed by the very jihadi elements
its has spawned. What makes us believe that its leaders are so against that
happening?.
If they have completely radicalised Afghanistan,
almost achieved the same in the Valley, and are encouraging such elements in
Pakistan too, does that make them wary of radicalising the whole of
Pakistan too in the same manner? It is not a few thousand ISI-trained fighters
of the Taliban or the LeT who will run over Pakistan’s half a million strong
Army. Logically, the Army itself will, at some point of time, adopt the Islamist
ideology that already drives the ISI.
Is India even thinking of preparing to meet
these challenges, or do our leaders still fancy that the only way to defend and
protect India is to sit across the table and make one unilateral concession
after the other to Pakistan?
Does India have a plan to defeat the challenges
that it is almost certain to face? The way some of our leaders brainlessly
dismiss any other option, no matter what Pakistan does, by invoking the fear
that Pakistan is a nuclear powered state, tells us that the Pakistanis have
read Indian minds well and know that they can get away with everything short of
a declared war, and that India will do little more than make meaningless noises
to assuage public opinion.
Much of the credit for the fact that Pakistan
has fearlessly and aggressively bled India for over three decades, needs to be
given to the one outstanding creation of Pakistan’s military, the ISI. This
covert military outfit is an innovative and powerful instrument of war, an invisible
and formidable force multiplier.
To counter it, not only has India has not been
able to find an answer but, given the predilections of its political
leadership, is unlikely to do so in future too.
Much as India’s ineptitude and worse hurt me as an
Indian, I have to admire what Pakistan–a nation that is 1/6th India’s size and
with 10th India’s GDP–has achieved through the ISI, whose successes have been
nothing short of spectacular. Wish we could learn what it has been trying to
teach us.
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