Humanity has a right to know the
truth which does not require endorsements.
India: Modi's Foreign Policy
Orientation
-DR. ABDUL RUFF COLACHAL
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The top most foreign policy
goal of India has been to be seen as an equal partner of USA, the only super
power of universe that effectively controls the world, its politics, economics,
foreign policies. In order possibly to achieve this objective, New Delhi has
made strenuous efforts by all possible means to be a veto member of
the discredited UNSC, at any cost.
When Narandra Modi assumed
power in New Delhi, he invited all SAARC members to attend his swearing
in ceremony, thereby sending a signal to big powers that all south Asian
nations are behind Indian India in pursuing its veto ambition.
Now New Delhi strategists
are working hard to arrange a meeting between Modi and Obama in
Washington on the sidelines of the UN meeting in New York in September.
Of course, USA knows and
sees though all such efforts by many other nations as well. Washington is
not at all interested in any change in veto structure of UNSC,
World perhaps is keenly watching
the performance of the Hindutva based BJP party which cam e to power for
the first time with a credible majority in parliament. In fact, the
BJP can decide the issues even without going to parliament
because in parliament the opposition cannot stop the BJP from passing any new
laws, implementing its program. . .
On the eve of assuming power in India, the newly and duly elected BJP
claimed India will be an "assertive power.. with dignity, with
responsibility and constitutional integrity".
The new premier, Narandra Modi is a shrewd politician and Modi's
proclaimed commitment to economic development could see him push hard to
broaden his commercial links – or even attempt a more radical gesture.
Whether or not Modi would promote ideology or prefer economic
and diplomatic gains to ideological overdoing remains to be
seen.
Views are being circulated in media that like Vajpayee before him did, Modi
would also put development before Hindutva ideology after all that ideology is
meant for snatching power form Congress party and dynastic misrule. Modi's
landslide win will give him both a "long honeymoon" with voters and
the legitimacy to hold the hardline nationalists at bay. So long as it is
Modi's ambition to rise – not only on an Indian stage, but on a world stage –
that drives him, he will discipline and restrain the extreme wing of the party.
And as long as his driving force is the desire to reshape India and be
remembered as the greatest prime minister since independence and above
Jawaharlal Nehru, there could be a more pragmatic Modi.
Modi is a polarising figure. He has emerged from, and is supported by, the
Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS), the hardline Hindu nationalist organisation.
The BJP is intimately linked to the RSS, which has been banned three times by
Indian authorities. The RSS is deeply distrusting (and worse) of other
religious minorities in India, suspicious of former colonial powers and the US,
and committed to economic self-sufficiency for India.
Modi cannot be expected to change the India foreign policy's
parameters in a big way because it is essentially a BJP-Congress
made foreign policy now.
India under Modi cannot afford to spoil the age old
economic and diplomatic ties with Russia and would continue to be the top
buyer of Russian military goods, among other economic stuff. With Europe, India
would continue the trade links as usual.
The US wants bilateral trade of $500bn a year, up from about $100bn
currently. But, after an improvement a decade ago, and a controversial nuclear
deal, relations between Delhi and Washington hit a new low five months ago when
Devyani Khobragade, the Indian deputy consul general was arrested for visa
fraud in New York, strip-searched and held in police custody. She was
eventually released and flew back to India but the affair prompted a vitriolic
reaction to what Indians saw as disrespectful bullying by the "Ugly American".
This in turn prompted US commentators to accuse India of oversensitivity and
behaviour unbecoming of an aspirant future power.
The only US government agency to be critical of Modi for some time is the US
Commission on International Religious Freedom, which warned of the impact a
Modi-led government might have on minorities in India
There are a lot of tensions in the relationship with the US, but they tend
to revolve around economics.
Indo-USA relations got strategic content in the early 1960s. The rise of the
People's Republic of China worried the policymakers in Washington. Chinese
assertion in Tibet, its role in the Korean War and other such acts concerned
Washington. As the relations between India and China were heated during the
late fifties, the Americans found a golden opportunity to take advantage of
this situation to promote India as a counterweight to China. And the trend
continues till day with Obama's Asian Pivot policy.
India has developed love-hate relationship with China, though much
worse than with Pakistan. The two countries frequently dispute their
Himalayan border..the sovereignty dispute will really test Indo-Chinese
relations.
China has already proclaimed its ownership of the 21st century and Modi's
victory speech pronouncement that the coming decades would constitute
"India's century" is unlikely to have been well received in Beijing.
Nor his attack, while on the campaign trail, on the Chinese "expansionist
mindset"
Indeed, for Modi, China may appear to be less a rival than an opportunity.
He has been there four times on official visits – more than any other
country – and, aides say, admires what has been achieved in the country.
On his last five-day tour, Modi carried red business cards printed in
Chinese..Modi is also said to feel more at home among the technocrats of
Beijing than in the west.
The history of the Gujarat riots and the RSS connection is not going to
simplify diplomacy anywhere in the Islamic world. The relationship with
Europeans is underperforming, with negotiations on a trade agreement taking so
long they have become a stock joke of ambassador's receptions in Delhi. British
ministers keep turning up, keen to stress how much they admire all things
Indian, especially large contracts.
The whole aftermath of the Arab Spring presents huge difficulties. India
needs lots of fossil fuels, and huge quantities of imported oil. Iran is a
long-term ally but demanding.
The other sticking point for Modi as well as Pakistan is the
disputed territory of Kashmir, where now only a low-level separatist
insurgency continues as India military has done away with most of Kashmiri
freedom movement leaders following the Spet-11 hoax. In fact, it is
becoming clear that Kashmiri leaders want only a change in the
ownership of Jammu Kashmir from India to Pakistan.
The BJP is committed to withdrawing the special constitutional provisions that
guarantee Kashmir a degree of autonomy within India. Concessions on this would be
tough for Modi to envisage, but removal can cause more problems for India. On
top of that, the region is evolving rapidly as the US and other remaining
international combat troops are withdrawn from Afghanistan by the end of this
year.
.
Modi's victory could be a
sign of greater changes to come. With the world's eighth largest military
expenditure, third largest armed force, tenth largest economy by nominal rates
and third largest economy in terms of purchasing power parity India is also a
major corruption ridden regional power.
While his supporters see a
man with an established record of honest, efficient and effective government,
critics accuse Modi of harbouring deep sectarian prejudices and of allowing, or
even encouraging, violence in which 1,000 people, largely Muslims, died while
he was in power in Gujarat state in 2002. Though a supreme court investigation
has found insufficient evidence to support the charges – which Modi has always
denied – concerns remain.
Indian corporate lords
exploit India's resources for their onward march and also force the
regime to stop all subsidies and freebies to poor and common people and
would spend huge resources to get the veto to only to promote further their
business interests.
These big business guys
have bought all parties and leaders to support their causes in
Parliament.
Modi needs to be extra
intelligent to realize that he must work for Indian masses that voted him and
his party to power and not the corporates that financed and
advertised him for pro-BJP poll outcomes.
Neither ideology nor
corporatism can sustain Modi in the absence of popular support. .
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